To frame this year’s expectation, we need to look backwards. Below is the same information but with the key metrics ranked, e.g. Mullins’ 2020 Festival win percentage was his second best of the past five Festivals; it was his best of five Festivals on each of EW%, PRB, IV, and A/E. So we’ll use IV, PRB and A/E as way points to navigate to a conclusion; but against which period(s) should we measure performance?

Cheltenham Gold Cup Tips

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• Inthepocket is interesting up in trip; didn’t the run of the race at the Dublin Racing Festival.
• Losses have been steepest in Grade 1 contests with your £1 bet returning on average 79p (loss of 21p in the £).
• It does seem a race where all of the preceding trials have been run on different ground and/or under very different pace scenarios.
• The Irish are an integral part of the congregation worshiping at jump racing’s cathedral, and there’s no Cheltenham thrill like it when that country unites behind an “Irish banker”.
• They, too, made a loss but nowhere near as severe, at -£50.53 (ROI -4.2%).
• If you’re a lover of figures (and we are, of course) he comes out well on both form and time.

The Glancing Queen will no doubt be well fancied for the feature race, but she hasn’t been the soundest jumper over hurdles and is worth opposing on her chase debut. Donald McCain is on a tremendous run of form (35% Strike Rate last 14 days) and there is every reason to believe she could add to the stables recent successes. If Chacun Pour Soi runs and wins at the Dublin Racing Festival this weekend – he’s currently a best priced 4/9 so to do – he’ll be shorter for the winning margin bets and odds on for the Champion Chase. If he doesn’t run, he’ll be circa evens on the day assuming he shows up. But, like I say, I think he’s a more robust animal this season, and I’m prepared to back that perception.

Tiger Roll wins the Cross Country Chase

He is not a guaranteed runner, hence the insurance caveat of NRNB, but this race is looking less and less clear cut by the day. Easysland was expected to bolt up before flopping at the November meeting; he was then Bolts Up Daily expected to race in France as a preparation but skipped that, too, so comes in off that solitary, below par, effort. He could easily bounce back but is not the ‘gimme’ he looked going into the November meeting.

Two Cheltenham Festival Side Bets to Consider

While it’s not quite like a Usain Bolt 100m, some of these races are over short distances, which leaves limited time to react. Horse racing is a sport that can be tracked and monitored. By looking at the performance of the horses and their jockeys, we can try to guess how they might perform when the gates open. There are many sites dedicated to horse racing news features. Following these will give you some indication as to what you can expect in the run-up to a big event. Some major bookies even have their own news sections where they combine the latest news from the races with their predictions and outcomes.

Paqueta to miss game as he’s summoned to parliament amid betting probe

Some of Cheltenham’s greatest scenes have been provided by the likes of Istabraq, Like A Butterfly and Danoli, and our friends from across the water are throwing the kitchen sink behind Samcro. “The horse is very good. I wasn’t happy with the position I had during the race, but he’s such a good horse that he got me through.” Teenager Jack Kennedy made sure there was no hard luck story by keeping out of trouble on the outside and cruised into contention on the final bend, taking up the running from Vision Des Flos.

Cheltenham Festival 2021: 7 NRNB ‘Free Hits’

Distinction brings solid form to the table as well and looks the most obvious danger on paper. He was only beaten half a length at Catterick and is just 1lb higher so should run his race. Tamaska has won 2 of his last 3 and looks best of the rest but another 2lb rise is going to ask more of him and he only prevailed by a neck last time at Doncaster from an exposed sort. Nat Love has won over this C&D before but was held by the fav last time. I was very pleased that I tipped three on Tuesday, including Lizzie Kelly on Coo Star Sivola at 5-1.

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• We are going to look at two races from the latter where the going is on the heavy side of Soft.
• Lossiemouth was severely hampered at one stage and looked well beaten before staying on strongly to finish only 2.5 Lengths behind the winner.
• His trainer, Brian Ellison, had the third in this race last year with Nietzsche and I sense The King Of May is a far better horse than him.
• I don’t expect her to confirm the form with Harry Fry’s mare.
• He was only beaten half a length at Catterick and is just 1lb higher so should run his race.
• It won’t stop him, as such, but he’s effectively 19lb higher than when beating In Excelsis Deo two starts back, and I don’t think it has been factored into his price.

He’s officially top rated in the line up, on 161, and this season has run 3rd in the Munster National, won the Troytown, been 2nd in the Becher Chase and bolted up in the PP Hogan Cross Country Chase at Punchestown. He stays well, jumps well and handles most ground; the only thing I don’t like about his profile is that it’s a very un-Gordon Elliott prep for the race! That said, Tiger Roll came to the race in good form when winning his second Glenfarclas in 2019, but it’s a weird niggle I can’t quite shake. That leaves Gentleman De Mee, perhaps the most likely pace angle. The second runner for Willie Mullins and a second for JP McManus, this lad beat Edwardstone in the Maghull Novices’ Chase (Grade 1) at Aintree two years ago and won the G1 Dublin Chase of 2023, too, so he’s got plenty of class.

More Australian success in King Charles III Stakes

State Man last year and this year’s Arkle 3rd Saint Roi 2 years ago. Hunters Yarn wouldn’t be out of place in the Grade 1 novice hurdles this year and is a multiple bumper winner and won his maiden hurdle at Naas by 13 lengths. The standout juvenile all season has been the well regarded LOSSIEMOUTH.

NFL Tips: Texans to batter Jets in Thursday night’s 18/1 Bet Builder

It is important to always gamble responsibly and to never bet more than you can afford to lose. Continuously educate yourself with horse racing tips, engage responsibly at various racecourses, and exercise patience in wagering decisions to achieve consistent and rewarding outcomes. By exploring tips from a range of experts, punters can gain a well-rounded view of the racing landscape, maximising their chances of selecting winning bets. Supplementing free horse racing tips with personal research can enhance your betting decisions. When looking into the world of horse racing, it is essential to recognise the nuances within each race.

Evocative Spark

Marie’s Rock had graduated to winning the Mares’ Hurdle and Love Envoi the Mares’ Novices Hurdle. If he can jump like he did at Kempton, then he ought to run really well for Anthony Honeyball, who was unlucky not to win this race with Ms Parfois a few years ago (winner Rathvinden would have been demoted under new whip rules). Like Ms Parfois, Kilbeg King will be ridden by Will Biddick, who has been the best English amateur at Cheltenham over the past decade and more. Salvador Ziggy has achieved as much as the pair above but is a more realistic price, with his second under 12st in the Kerry National a fine effort for a novice. He comes here after an abortive trip to run in the Grand National Hurdle at Far Hills in October, and while the absence might be a worry, he was second in the Pertemps last year off an identical lay-off. I’m struggling to make a case for any of Kings Hill, Supersundae and Gold Dancer.

William Buick winners have been with Bohemian Melody (2011) and Jamaican Bolt (2014). Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Thunderball (2012) and Aberama Gold (2020). As with all the reports, you can set parameters at the top to filter the day’s qualifiers. And there are various other filtering options – for instance, I’m looking at the Course 5 Year Form view here, which tells me Harry Fry has run two handicap debutants at Plumpton since 19th December 2017.

LATEST HORSE RACING RESULTS

In this case, 2nd of four beats two horses and loses to one horse, so has a PRB score of 67% (or 0.67) for beating two out of three of its rivals. Impact Value (IV) is a measure of how frequently something happens for x in relation to how frequently it happens for all. For instance, how often the going is good to soft on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival compared to how often the going is good to soft over all days of the Cheltenham Festival. Protektorat has been Pricewise’d in the last couple of days, that value vacuum cleaner meaning he’s a rum price for us Johnny Come Lately’s, but he’s not really one I’m yet persuaded by anyway. And so, enfin, let us peruse the past performances, in approximate market rank order.

The long term disciplined approach is essential in true professional betting. I spend long hours analysing races and for me the only way to determine true value is by maintaining my own ratings and compiling my own prices, without recourse to the bookmaker odds. There is a lot of twaddle talked by so called experts about betting value. As a professional for many years, I know exactly what the word means in hard cash terms.

‘His season starts here’ – 85/1 Gordon Elliott Down Royal accumulator on Friday

The undoubted highlight of day one is the Grade 1 Champion Hurdle. Since just under two hours before last year’s Champion Hurdle, Constitution Hill has been close to, or outright, favourite for the 2023 renewal. The reason for that was his destruction of a solid-looking Supreme Novices’ Hurdle field in the 2022 curtain raiser, where he easily despatched Jonbon et al in a very fast time. True, both Dysart Dynamo (joint favourite with CH that day) and Mighty Potter, unbeaten in four since, both failed to complete; but that is, after all, a fairly important part of the challenge. Corach Rambler won the race last year and will again be played late; he was much the best that day and is only six pounds higher now. A fine fourth of 15 in the Coral Gold Cup (Hennessy as was) in November was his most recent run, though that was 108 days ago.

Bleu Berry wins the Coral Cup

• The four odds-on scorers, in reverse chronological order Footpad, Altior, Douvan and Un De Sceaux, scored by, respectively, 14 lengths, six lengths, seven lengths and six lengths.
• Willie also has Il Etait Temps, soundly enough beaten by GW at Limerick in that Faugheen but a winner either side, most recently in the G1 Irish Arkle, also at the DRF.
• Recently purchased by top owner J P McManus, she can extend her winning sequence.
• Meanwhile, last day winners have secured 141 wins from 1200 runners (SR 11.8%).
• Winnings from Bonus spins credited as bonus funds and capped at £100.
• Any of Jason The Militant, Not So Sleepy, or the big pair of Constitution Hill and State Man could take them along.
• No, the job here is to look at how the percentages within a going column change based on the number of previous wins on that going.

But if Energumene is ridden more conservatively, there are two possible dangers. A lot of data manipulation and a very short read later we can now say the answer is certainly ‘no’; which is unsurprising given the maturity of, and liquidity in, these markets. Nevertheless, when the media cries “certainty” and the market posits 4/6, punters are well served to beware. Breeding – by Fame And Glory out of a Bob Back mare – suggests he’ll stay the Ballymore range without a care, and in a race that is 3/1 the field, he has Grade 1 credentials.

• Willie was quite bullish about his ability in recent stable tour chat but I thought he might have gone Ballymore rather than here.
• A good horse can win under an inexperienced jockey but not even Sir Anthony McCoy and Frankie Dettori combined will win on a slow one.
• Joseph O’Brien won this in 2019 with Band Of Outlaws, and saddles Champion Green this time.
• Sydney Street left his debut run behind to finish third at Ffos Las last time and will be the danger if building on that again.
• Can win a well-deserved Group 1 in the Sun Chariot Stakes.
• The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ripon and Haydock, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

These tips can help bettors make informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of winning. Maintaining a betting log aids in tracking your bets effectively, especially when engaging in diverse markets like international races. Daily Free betting tips including horse racing tips, football predictions and free bets from all of the trusted bookmakers. The daughter of Cable Bay had obviously been showing up in the morning on the Newmarket gallops – she went off the even-money favourite for a fillies’ novice stakes at Catterick Bridge at the start of June.

10 Glenfarclas Chase (Cross Country, Class 2, 3m6f)

You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ayr Racecourse section for links to these. Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Futurity Trophy Weekend 6f Handicap, that stallion Invincible Spirit has produced 2 winners (2019,2016). The course which has produced the most winners of the Futurity Trophy Weekend 6f Handicap is York, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

Live streaming is a major boon for horse racing fans, who might previously have had to check the results after the event, or make a trip to their local betting shop to watch the action unfold. Many of the traditions we still observe in modern horse racing are centuries-old, dating all the way back to the Roman era. Records of “running horses” exist from the 9th and 10th centuries.

And, from a value perspective, especially if that horse is returning to optimal conditions today having recently run under less suitable criteria. A facilitator is merely something that greases the wheels, smooths the process, or saves time. In terms of horse racing betting, it’s usually either the aforementioned trusted human advisor or, for fans – like me – of the puzzle, it’s a website form resource like the one found elsewhere on these virtual pages. There’s plenty of content about how to use the geegeez toolkit elsewhere – try this link for a run down, so in this post I want to consider the other term, differentiators. It all started with a new superstar in the name of Bob Olinger, who absolutely bolted up in the Ballymore novices hurdle to become the first of the Cheltenham Festival Day 2 Winners. He was heavily supported in the market all morning, and my Ante Post Nap selection for the festival advised at 4/1 at the time of posting.

The Williams team have excellent contacts in France and have a long history of recruiting nice hurdlers from across the channel. I’d love him to be up there from the outset as there isn’t much pace elsewhere in the race and that looks the best scenario for Jack Tudor to get a truly run race to suit. It must be a recurring issue they keep having to tinker with. Of course, if a horse keeps running badly you’d be wise to give it a wide berth, but ignoring one or two bad runs can lead you to back winners at decent prices.

Well, why aren’t they running in that race then, I hear (one of) you cry! The answer, of course, is trajectory; and that is the byword for attempting to solve this wagering puzzle. Cast back to 2020, and a six-year-old Epatante was winning the Blue Riband while forty minutes later Honeysuckle, also six, was winning this race.